Language:English
Motor Lublin v Cracovia Kraków
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motor Lublin (Local)
Prediction 32.25%3.10fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.25%32.39%32.27%34.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.753.0538.46%35.91%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cracovia Kraków (Visit)
Prediction 39.80%2.51fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.09%39.66%39.85%40.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.332.4547.62%42.84%43.01%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.95%3.58fair odd
EV +0.625%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.240%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%27.94%27.88%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.303.6034.72%30.39%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motor Lublin (Local): 32.25%; Cracovia Kraków (Visit): 39.80%; Draw: 27.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.625%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.55%EV -8.73%E -3.08%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.07%EV -5.68%E -2.40%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.625%E +0.174%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.57%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -1.63%E -0.534%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%EV -3.69%E -1.53%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.67%E -3.31%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.67%E -3.31%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:42 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -6.88%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.27%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.51%EV -10.00%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 12:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -7.28%E -3.12%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -14.44%E -6.72%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.51%EV -7.44%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -16.43%E -7.82%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.50%E -6.77%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |