A Escola das Odds

Motor Lublin v Cracovia Kraków

Início: 2026-05-16 12:49 UTC

Final: Motor Lublin 3–3 Cracovia Kraków

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Motor Lublin (Local)

Previsão 32.25%3.10odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.534%
Kelly -0.795%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.25%32.39%32.27%34.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.782.753.0538.46%35.91%36.36%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)

Previsão 39.80%2.51odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.09%39.66%39.85%40.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.332.332.4547.62%42.84%43.01%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.95%3.58odd justa
EV +0.625%
Vantagem +0.174%
Kelly +0.240%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%27.94%27.88%29.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.293.303.6034.72%30.39%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.55%EV -8.73%E -3.08%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.07%EV -5.68%E -2.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.625%E +0.174%K +0.240%G +0.002%5.3%2026-05-16 12:44
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 12:44
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:45
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:44
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:44
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 12:44
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.57%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 12:45
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:45
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:45
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:45
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 12:45
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -1.63%E -0.534%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%EV -3.69%E -1.53%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 12:44
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.67%E -3.31%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 12:44
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.67%E -3.31%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 12:44
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 12:45
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 12:42
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 12:45
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 12:45
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 12:45
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:44
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 12:44
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 12:45
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 12:44
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 12:45
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 12:45
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 12:45
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 12:45
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 12:45
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 12:44
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 12:45
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 12:45
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 12:44
Marathon Bet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -6.88%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 12:44
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.27%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.51%EV -10.00%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 12:41
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 12:45
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 12:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 12:45
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -7.28%E -3.12%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 12:45
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-16 12:45
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -14.44%E -6.72%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 12:44
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 12:44
LowVig.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 12:44
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 12:45
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 12:45
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.51%EV -7.44%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 12:45
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 12:45
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 12:45
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -16.43%E -7.82%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.50%E -6.77%K -10.37%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-16 12:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-16 12:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-16 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-16 12:45
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-05-16 12:45
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-05-16 12:45
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%2.6%2026-05-16 12:45