La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Motor Lublin v Cracovia Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motor Lublin (Local)
Predicción 32.25%3.10momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.795%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.25%32.39%32.27%34.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.753.0538.46%35.91%36.36%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 39.80%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.09%39.66%39.85%40.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.332.332.4547.62%42.84%43.01%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.95%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.625%
Ventaja +0.174%
Kelly +0.240%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.94%27.88%29.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.6034.72%30.39%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.55%EV -8.73%E -3.08%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.07%EV -5.68%E -2.40%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.625%E +0.174%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -2.17%E -0.620%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -3.57%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -1.63%E -0.534%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%EV -3.69%E -1.53%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.65%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.67%E -3.31%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -7.67%E -3.31%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:42 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.36%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.11%E -2.47%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.29%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.92%E -4.78%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -7.76%E -2.35%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -14.53%E -5.48%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.82%E -1.99%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.63%EV -6.88%E -2.94%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -9.44%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.27%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.51%EV -10.00%E -3.10%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 12:41 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -4.85%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.48%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.46%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -7.28%E -3.12%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -16.14%E -6.21%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -14.44%E -6.72%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.24%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.49%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 12:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -11.95%E -3.79%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.51%EV -7.44%E -2.59%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.32%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -13.35%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.47%E -3.68%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -16.15%E -5.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -9.69%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -16.43%E -7.82%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.50%E -6.77%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.94% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08% | 2.6% | 2026-05-16 12:45 |