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Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź

2026-09-13 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Prediction 50.22%1.99fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.89%50.15%50.39%50.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.34%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Widzew Łódź (Visit)

Prediction 23.17%4.32fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -0.843%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.66%23.21%23.22%24.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.873.954.2028.17%25.82%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.62%3.76fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.86%26.64%26.38%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.453.6031.25%29.26%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Legia Warszawa (Local): 50.22%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 23.17%; Draw: 26.62%. For Widzew Łódź (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -2.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:44
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.70%E -0.642%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -3.86%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.33%EV -4.71%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 18:00
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.29%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.50%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:49
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 16:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.12%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.37%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.12%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.12%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -10.62%E -5.96%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -16.60%E -4.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.28%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -17.76%E -5.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.39%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -16.60%E -4.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -13.50%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.65%EV -12.62%E -7.26%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.35%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.83%E -4.63%K -6.74%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.08%EV -13.13%E -7.59%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.42%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.50%EV -12.96%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-06 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 48.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%16.3%2026-09-06 16:50