Language:English
Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prediction 48.22%2.07fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.69%48.25%48.19%49.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.911.9955.56%52.80%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Widzew Łódź (Visit)
Prediction 24.34%4.11fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.886%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.34%24.34%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.0028.57%26.41%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.44%3.64fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.412%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%27.41%27.47%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.173.343.303.5931.55%29.91%30.30%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Legia Warszawa (Local): 48.22%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 24.34%; Draw: 27.44%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.59, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.34%EV -4.04%E -2.03%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.86%EV -5.82%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.412%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -4.52%E -2.28%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 15:26 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 15:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.00%EV -6.45%E -3.32%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.44%EV -7.28%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.55%EV -7.24%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.24%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 15:26 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-13 15:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 15:26 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.97%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -13.61%E -3.83%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -8.86%E -4.69%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -10.31%E -5.54%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-13 15:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.25%EV -12.24%E -6.72%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.38%EV -12.72%E -7.03%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -11.18%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -4.10%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.35%EV -12.72%E -7.03%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 15:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 15:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 15:21 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 15:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 2.3% | 2026-09-13 15:21 |