Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź

2026-09-13 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Previsão 50.22%1.99odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -4.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.89%50.15%50.39%50.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.841.851.9157.80%54.34%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Widzew Łódź (Visitante)

Previsão 23.17%4.32odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -0.642%
Kelly -0.843%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.66%23.21%23.22%24.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.873.954.2028.17%25.82%25.32%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.62%3.76odd justa
EV -4.18%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.86%26.64%26.38%27.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.453.6031.25%29.26%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Legia Warszawa (Local): 50.22%; Widzew Łódź (Visitante): 23.17%; Empate: 26.62%. Para Widzew Łódź (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.32. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.20, com valor esperado de -2.70%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:45
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.28%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 15:44
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.90%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -2.70%E -0.642%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -3.86%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.33%EV -4.71%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 18:00
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.29%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.50%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:49
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.49%E -2.15%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.65%E -2.47%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.50%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 16:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.89%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -13.12%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 15:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.18%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.37%EV -8.26%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -5.51%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 18:05
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.12%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -8.10%E -4.43%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -13.12%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -8.61%E -4.73%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -7.33%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -9.11%E -5.03%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 15:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.96%E -3.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.84%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -10.62%E -5.96%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -16.60%E -4.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.28%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.43%EV -17.76%E -5.00%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.28%EV -12.17%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-06 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.39%EV -12.12%E -6.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -16.60%E -4.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -13.50%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.65%EV -12.62%E -7.26%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.35%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -14.83%E -4.63%K -6.74%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.08%EV -13.13%E -7.59%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.42%EV -14.28%E -3.86%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.50%EV -12.96%E -3.96%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-06 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 48.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.29%16.3%2026-09-06 16:50