Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Legia Warszawa v Widzew Łódź

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 15:30 UTC

Score final : Legia Warszawa 1–1 Widzew Łódź

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Prévision 48.22%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -4.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.69%48.25%48.19%49.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.911.9955.56%52.80%52.36%50.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.34%4.11cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -0.886%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%24.34%24.34%25.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.793.804.0028.57%26.41%26.32%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.44%3.64cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.412%
Kelly -0.571%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.69%27.41%27.47%28.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.173.343.303.5931.55%29.91%30.30%27.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Legia Warszawa (Local) : 48.22% ; Widzew Łódź (Visiteur) : 24.34% ; Match nul : 27.44%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.59, pour une espérance de -1.48% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.34%EV -4.04%E -2.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.86%EV -5.82%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -1.48%E -0.412%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 15:16
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -4.52%E -2.28%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 15:26
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.95%EV -5.49%E -2.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.41%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 15:14
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -5.97%E -3.06%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 15:25
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.00%EV -6.45%E -3.32%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.44%EV -7.28%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.55%EV -7.24%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.93%E -3.59%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 15:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.24%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 15:15
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 15:26
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -7.41%E -3.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 15:11
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 15:16
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 15:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 15:16
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 15:14
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 15:14
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 15:15
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 15:26
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 15:10
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.90%E -4.13%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 15:11
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 15:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.75%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.81%E -3.33%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.97%EV -8.38%E -4.41%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -13.61%E -3.83%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.31%EV -8.86%E -4.69%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 15:16
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:21
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.95%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -9.34%E -4.97%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -10.31%E -5.54%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -10.79%E -5.83%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -2.66%E -0.664%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -6.69%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -8.07%E -2.41%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 15:11
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.75%E -6.42%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 15:26
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.25%EV -12.24%E -6.72%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.38%EV -12.72%E -7.03%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -11.18%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.63%EV -13.01%E -4.10%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-13 15:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.35%EV -12.72%E -7.03%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.31%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -12.18%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 15:16
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -7.52%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:11
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -13.20%E -7.33%K -16.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.44%E -2.86%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 15:11
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-09-13 15:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 15:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 15:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 15:21
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-09-13 15:16
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-09-13 15:21