Школа коэффициентов

Legia Warszawa v Motor Lublin

Начало: 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Итог: Legia Warszawa 4–0 Motor Lublin

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Хозяева)

Прогноз 63.18%1.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.34%
Преимущество -2.18%
Kelly -6.29%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.53

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.67%63.15%63.17%65.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.461.461.5373.53%68.51%68.49%65.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Motor Lublin (Гости)

Прогноз 16.41%6.09справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.57%
Преимущество +0.410%
Kelly +0.489%
Рост +0.013%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.25%16.45%16.41%18.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.555.506.2520.83%18.03%18.18%16.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 20.41%4.90справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.012%
Преимущество +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.98%20.40%20.42%22.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.754.364.314.9026.67%22.96%23.17%20.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +2.57%E +0.410%K +0.489%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 15:29
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -10.29%E -7.24%K -24.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.012%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 15:29
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:30
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 63.83%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.85%EV -2.19%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -5.09%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.22%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -3.18%E -0.539%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -10.29%E -7.24%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.82%E -0.831%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.07%E -0.866%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:30
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.45%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.07%E -0.866%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -10.19%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 15:28
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.55%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.50%EV -7.94%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 20.95%EV -9.79%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:22
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 63.09%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:28
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 63.09%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.25%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 15:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.40%EV -7.13%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.40%EV -7.13%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:29
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 15:29
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.11%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -23.46%E -6.26%K -8.53%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -11.38%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -11.38%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -18.36%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 15:29
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -18.36%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.27%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.24%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -13.85%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -3.05%E -0.642%K -0.813%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.79%EV -10.92%E -7.74%K -26.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -13.85%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.21%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 15:28
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.36%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -16.31%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.52%EV -12.18%E -8.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -16.31%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.45%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -21.23%E -4.42%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.23%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%2.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%2.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.16%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%3.7%2026-05-23 15:30