Szkoła Kursów

Legia Warszawa v Motor Lublin

Początek: 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Legia Warszawa 4–0 Motor Lublin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 63.18%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -3.34%
Przewaga -2.18%
Kelly -6.29%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.67%63.15%63.17%65.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.461.461.5373.53%68.51%68.49%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Motor Lublin (Goście)

Prognoza 16.41%6.09kurs godziwy
EV +2.57%
Przewaga +0.410%
Kelly +0.489%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.25%16.45%16.41%18.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.805.555.506.2520.83%18.03%18.18%16.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 20.41%4.90kurs godziwy
EV +0.012%
Przewaga +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.98%20.40%20.42%22.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.364.314.9026.67%22.96%23.17%20.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +2.57%E +0.410%K +0.489%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 15:29
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -10.29%E -7.24%K -24.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.012%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 15:29
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:30
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 63.83%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.85%EV -2.19%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -5.09%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.22%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -3.18%E -0.539%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -10.29%E -7.24%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.82%E -0.831%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.07%E -0.866%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:30
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.45%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.07%E -0.866%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -10.19%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 15:28
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.55%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.50%EV -7.94%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 20.95%EV -9.79%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:22
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 63.09%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:28
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 63.09%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.25%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 15:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.40%EV -7.13%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.40%EV -7.13%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:29
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 15:29
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.11%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -23.46%E -6.26%K -8.53%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -11.38%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -11.38%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -18.36%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 15:29
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -18.36%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.27%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.24%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -13.85%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -3.05%E -0.642%K -0.813%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.79%EV -10.92%E -7.74%K -26.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -13.85%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.21%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 15:28
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.36%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -16.31%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.52%EV -12.18%E -8.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -16.31%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.45%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -21.23%E -4.42%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.23%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%2.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%2.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.16%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%3.7%2026-05-23 15:30