A Escola das Odds

Legia Warszawa v Motor Lublin

Início: 2026-05-23 15:32 UTC

Final: Legia Warszawa 4–0 Motor Lublin

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Local)

Previsão 63.18%1.58odd justa
EV -3.34%
Vantagem -2.18%
Kelly -6.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.67%63.15%63.17%65.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.461.461.5373.53%68.51%68.49%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Motor Lublin (Visitante)

Previsão 16.41%6.09odd justa
EV +2.57%
Vantagem +0.410%
Kelly +0.489%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.25%16.45%16.41%18.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.805.555.506.2520.83%18.03%18.18%16.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.41%4.90odd justa
EV +0.012%
Vantagem +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.98%20.40%20.42%22.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.364.314.9026.67%22.96%23.17%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV +2.57%E +0.410%K +0.489%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 15:29
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -10.29%E -7.24%K -24.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.012%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 15:29
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 15:30
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.54%E -0.256%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 63.83%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.85%EV -2.19%E -0.368%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -5.09%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.22%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -3.18%E -0.539%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -10.29%E -7.24%K -24.49%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -4.82%E -0.831%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -4.07%E -0.866%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 15:30
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.45%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.07%E -0.866%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 15:30
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -3.34%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 15:30
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 15:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -5.64%E -0.981%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -10.19%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 15:28
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.55%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.50%EV -7.94%E -1.41%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 20.95%EV -9.79%E -2.21%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:22
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:29
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -4.60%E -3.05%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 63.09%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:28
BetUS1.46I 68.49%NM 63.09%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 15:29
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.25%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -8.10%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 15:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.40%EV -7.13%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.40%EV -7.13%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:29
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -5.86%E -3.94%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 15:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 15:29
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -8.15%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 15:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.11%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -9.74%E -1.77%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -23.46%E -6.26%K -8.53%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-23 15:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -7.13%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -11.38%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 15:29
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 61.48%EV -9.02%E -6.27%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.39%EV -11.38%E -2.11%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -18.36%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 15:29
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.45%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.58%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -18.36%E -4.59%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.27%EV -14.08%E -10.35%K -39.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.24%EV -13.02%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.49%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-23 15:29
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -13.85%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -3.05%E -0.642%K -0.813%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 15:30
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.79%EV -10.92%E -7.74%K -26.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.86%EV -13.85%E -2.64%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -11.21%E -2.58%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 15:28
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.36%EV -7.76%E -5.31%K -16.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -16.31%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.11%E -1.33%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-23 15:29
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 62.52%EV -12.18%E -8.76%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -16.31%E -3.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.45%EV -13.26%E -3.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-23 15:29
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -6.50%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -14.28%E -3.40%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 15:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.55%E -8.25%K -28.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -17.95%E -3.59%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -11.62%E -2.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-23 15:29
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -9.65%E -6.75%K -22.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -21.23%E -4.42%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.23%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-23 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-05-23 15:30
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.24%1.9%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%2.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.82%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.86%2.0%2026-05-23 15:30
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-05-23 15:30
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 65.16%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.55%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%3.7%2026-05-23 15:30