Language:English
Legia Warszawa v Cracovia Kraków
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prediction 50.81%1.97fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -4.46%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.41%50.87%50.77%52.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.811.821.8961.73%55.18%54.95%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cracovia Kraków (Visit)
Prediction 21.96%4.55fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.331%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.43%21.93%21.97%23.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.144.104.5026.32%24.13%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.552%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%27.19%27.26%28.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.85%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Legia Warszawa (Local): 50.81%; Cracovia Kraków (Visit): 21.96%; Draw: 27.23%. For Cracovia Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -2.26%E -0.507%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -5.49%E -2.95%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.30%EV -2.04%E -0.457%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.35%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -8.03%E -4.44%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.16%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -3.36%E -0.763%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.38%EV -12.06%E -3.73%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 19:07 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.88%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -16.54%E -4.35%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -1.16%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.66%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -15.44%E -4.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -12.10%E -6.99%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.91%EV -14.64%E -8.71%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.65%EV -17.69%E -10.92%K -28.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.92%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.43%EV -16.96%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.89% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |