مدرسة الاحتمالات

Legia Warszawa v Cracovia Kraków

البداية: 2026-03-08 19:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Legia Warszawa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.81%1.97السعر العادل
EV -3.97%
الأفضلية -2.10%
Kelly -4.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.41%50.87%50.77%52.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.811.821.8961.73%55.18%54.95%52.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cracovia Kraków (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.96%4.55السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.258%
Kelly -0.331%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.43%21.93%21.97%23.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.804.144.104.5026.32%24.13%24.39%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.23%3.67السعر العادل
EV -1.99%
الأفضلية -0.552%
Kelly -0.765%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.22%27.19%27.26%28.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.85%29.85%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:35
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:34
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 18:35
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 19:09
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:35
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:35
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:35
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 18:34
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 18:35
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -2.26%E -0.507%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 19:05
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -5.49%E -2.95%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.30%EV -2.04%E -0.457%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 19:09
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 19:05
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 19:04
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 18:35
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 19:10
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 19:09
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.765%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 19:09
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.35%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 19:10
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 19:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 19:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 19:00
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 19:05
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 19:04
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 19:05
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -8.03%E -4.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 18:34
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.16%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 19:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 19:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 19:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 19:09
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 19:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 19:00
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 19:09
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-08 18:34
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -3.36%E -0.763%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 19:10
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.38%EV -12.06%E -3.73%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-08 19:07
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.88%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -16.54%E -4.35%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -1.16%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 19:09
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-08 19:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 18:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 19:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 18:59
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-08 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.66%K -15.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -15.44%E -4.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-08 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -12.10%E -6.99%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-08 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.91%EV -14.64%E -8.71%K -21.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-08 19:09
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.65%EV -17.69%E -10.92%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.92%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.43%EV -16.96%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000%19.5%2026-03-08 18:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-08 19:09
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.13%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-03-08 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-03-08 19:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-03-08 19:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-03-08 19:10
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%3.3%2026-03-08 19:09