La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Legia Warszawa v Cracovia Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Predicción 50.81%1.97momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -4.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.41%50.87%50.77%52.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.811.821.8961.73%55.18%54.95%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 21.96%4.55momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.258%
Kelly -0.331%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.43%21.93%21.97%23.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.144.104.5026.32%24.13%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.765%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.22%27.19%27.26%28.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.353.6033.33%29.85%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.58%EV -3.97%E -2.10%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.65%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -4.48%E -2.38%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.40%EV -4.99%E -2.67%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV -2.26%E -0.507%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -3.08%E -0.864%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.08%EV -5.49%E -2.95%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.30%EV -2.04%E -0.457%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.62%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.05%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -8.85%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 19:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.63%EV -6.00%E -3.24%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.05%EV -6.51%E -3.54%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -1.99%E -0.552%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -3.35%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.95%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.79%E -2.63%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.02%E -3.83%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.65%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -7.53%E -4.13%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.62%EV -8.03%E -4.44%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.16%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.55%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -8.54%E -4.75%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -9.56%E -5.37%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -3.36%E -0.763%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -4.45%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV -13.24%E -3.35%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.38%EV -12.06%E -3.73%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-08 19:07 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.88%EV -10.57%E -6.01%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -16.54%E -4.35%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -11.52%E -3.54%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -1.16%E -0.258%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -4.89%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.75%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -11.08%E -6.33%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.66%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -15.44%E -4.01%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-08 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -12.10%E -6.99%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-03-08 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.91%EV -14.64%E -8.71%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -14.34%E -3.68%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -14.24%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.65%EV -17.69%E -10.92%K -28.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.92%EV -12.14%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.43%EV -16.96%E -5.56%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-08 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.13% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.89% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 19:09 |