Language:English
Lechia Gdańsk v Pogoń Szczecin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Prediction 37.33%2.68fair odd
EV +0.785%
Edge +0.291%
Kelly +0.462%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.17%37.37%37.39%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.452.482.7045.45%40.75%40.32%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)
Prediction 35.52%2.82fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.840%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.42%35.47%35.51%37.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.00%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.629%
Kelly -0.872%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%27.16%27.10%28.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lechia Gdańsk (Local): 37.33%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 35.52%; Draw: 27.15%. For Lechia Gdańsk (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.785%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.17%EV +0.785%E +0.291%K +0.462%G +0.004% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -9.77%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -2.31%E -0.840%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -2.31%E -0.840%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.42%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.86%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.09%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 16:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.09%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.83%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.51%EV -7.28%E -2.79%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.35%E -3.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.35%E -3.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -3.62%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.20%EV -8.17%E -3.32%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:27 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 16:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -11.90%E -4.80%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -11.90%E -4.80%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.86%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.62%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.53%E -4.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.97%EV -13.03%E -5.59%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-21 16:27 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.78%EV -15.27%E -6.73%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.74%EV -17.88%E -8.13%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.59%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.83% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |