L’École des cotes

Lechia Gdańsk v Pogoń Szczecin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 16:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lechia Gdańsk (Local)

Prévision 37.33%2.68cote équitable
EV +0.785%
Avantage +0.291%
Kelly +0.462%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.17%37.37%37.39%38.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.452.482.7045.45%40.75%40.32%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.52%2.82cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.840%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.42%35.47%35.51%37.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.00%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -0.872%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%27.16%27.10%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.17%EV +0.785%E +0.291%K +0.462%G +0.004%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -9.77%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:29
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -2.31%E -0.840%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:29
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -2.31%E -0.840%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 16:29
Pinnacle2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.42%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 16:29
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.86%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:29
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.09%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:28
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.09%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:29
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:29
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:29
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:29
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:30
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:29
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:30
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:30
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:29
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:29
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:29
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 16:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 16:29
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 16:29
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 16:29
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 16:29
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 16:29
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.83%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.51%EV -7.28%E -2.79%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 16:29
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.35%E -3.24%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 16:29
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.35%E -3.24%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 16:29
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -3.62%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 16:29
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.20%EV -8.17%E -3.32%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 16:29
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:27
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 16:29
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 16:28
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 16:29
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -11.90%E -4.80%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -11.90%E -4.80%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 16:29
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.86%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 16:29
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 16:29
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 16:29
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-21 16:30
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.62%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 16:29
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 16:29
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 16:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-21 16:29
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.53%E -4.87%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 16:30
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.97%EV -13.03%E -5.59%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-21 16:27
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-21 16:29
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-21 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000%18.5%2026-03-21 16:29
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 37.78%EV -15.27%E -6.73%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-21 16:29
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.74%EV -17.88%E -8.13%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.59%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-21 16:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-03-21 16:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-03-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-03-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-03-21 16:30
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-03-21 16:30
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%4.1%2026-03-21 16:29