La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lechia Gdańsk v Pogoń Szczecin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Predicción 37.33%2.68momio equitativo
EV +0.785%
Ventaja +0.291%
Kelly +0.462%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.17%37.37%37.39%38.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.482.7045.45%40.75%40.32%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante)
Predicción 35.52%2.82momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.840%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.42%35.47%35.51%37.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.552.7541.67%39.00%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -0.872%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%27.16%27.10%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.42%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.17%EV +0.785%E +0.291%K +0.462%G +0.004% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -9.77%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -6.07%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -2.31%E -0.840%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -2.31%E -0.840%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.95%E -1.13%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.42%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -4.81%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.86%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.09%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 16:28 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.09%E -1.51%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| betPARX | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -2.27%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.05%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.68%E -2.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.22%EV -7.05%E -2.83%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.51%EV -7.28%E -2.79%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.35%E -3.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.35%E -3.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.43%E -2.99%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -3.62%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.20%EV -8.17%E -3.32%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 16:27 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 16:28 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.55%E -3.49%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -11.90%E -4.80%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.40%EV -9.29%E -3.82%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.64%EV -11.90%E -4.80%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -5.86%E -2.21%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.93%E -2.64%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.98%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.41%E -3.69%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.62%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -6.34%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.41%E -4.34%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.55%EV -13.68%E -5.63%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -7.70%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -11.16%E -4.69%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -13.13%E -4.10%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -11.53%E -4.87%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.97%EV -13.03%E -5.59%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.65%EV -9.87%E -2.97%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-21 16:27 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -11.19%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.77%E -3.62%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.62%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.44%EV -10.41%E -3.15%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.15%E -6.15%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.78%EV -15.27%E -6.73%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -12.97%E -5.29%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -14.48%E -4.60%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.74%EV -17.88%E -8.13%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.59%EV -14.74%E -6.14%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -18.56%E -6.19%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.49% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.83% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:29 |