Language:English
Lechia Gdańsk v Piast Gliwice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Prediction 45.13%2.22fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.87%45.18%45.11%46.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.042.1352.36%49.36%49.02%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 28.71%3.48fair odd
EV -0.938%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.383%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.30%28.67%28.81%29.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.203.4534.72%31.32%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.604%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%26.16%26.08%27.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.523.7632.26%28.54%28.37%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lechia Gdańsk (Local): 45.13%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 28.71%; Draw: 26.15%. For Piast Gliwice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -0.938%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.18%EV -3.86%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -2.37%E -0.698%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV -5.07%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.44%EV -5.67%E -2.71%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -6.97%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -1.67%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -6.57%E -3.18%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.79%EV -6.57%E -3.18%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.26%EV -5.82%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -10.04%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.24%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.938%E -0.272%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.938%E -0.272%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 16:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 16:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 16:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -10.63%E -5.37%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-20 16:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.39%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.74%EV -11.56%E -3.75%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.88%EV -10.56%E -3.09%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-20 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.27%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -12.39%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.91%EV -13.34%E -6.95%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.79%E -7.22%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -17.31%E -6.01%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16% | 1.9% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71% | 5.1% | 2026-04-20 17:00 |