L’École des cotes

Lechia Gdańsk v Piast Gliwice

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-20 17:02 UTC

Score final : Lechia Gdańsk 1–1 Piast Gliwice

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lechia Gdańsk (Local)

Prévision 45.13%2.22cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -3.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.87%45.18%45.11%46.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.032.042.1352.36%49.36%49.02%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Piast Gliwice (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.71%3.48cote équitable
EV -0.938%
Avantage -0.272%
Kelly -0.383%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%28.67%28.81%29.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.193.203.4534.72%31.32%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.15%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.443%
Kelly -0.604%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%26.16%26.08%27.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.523.7632.26%28.54%28.37%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.18%EV -3.86%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -2.37%E -0.698%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV -5.07%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 16:59
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 16:59
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.44%EV -5.67%E -2.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -6.97%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -1.67%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -6.57%E -3.18%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:00
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.79%EV -6.57%E -3.18%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.26%EV -5.82%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -10.04%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.24%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 17:00
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 16:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 16:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 16:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 16:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 17:00
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 16:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 16:59
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 17:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.938%E -0.272%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 17:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.938%E -0.272%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 16:59
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 16:56
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 17:00
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 17:00
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 17:00
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 17:00
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:54
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 17:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 17:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 16:58
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 16:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 16:59
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -10.63%E -5.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 17:00
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 16:58
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.39%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.74%EV -11.56%E -3.75%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.88%EV -10.56%E -3.09%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 16:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 17:00
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-20 17:00
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.27%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -12.39%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.91%EV -13.34%E -6.95%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.79%E -7.22%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -17.31%E -6.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.01%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%1.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%5.1%2026-04-20 17:00