مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lechia Gdańsk v Piast Gliwice

البداية: 2026-04-20 17:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Lechia Gdańsk 1–1 Piast Gliwice

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lechia Gdańsk (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.13%2.22السعر العادل
EV -3.86%
الأفضلية -1.81%
Kelly -3.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.87%45.18%45.11%46.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.032.042.1352.36%49.36%49.02%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Piast Gliwice (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.71%3.48السعر العادل
EV -0.938%
الأفضلية -0.272%
Kelly -0.383%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.30%28.67%28.81%29.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.193.203.4534.72%31.32%31.25%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.15%3.82السعر العادل
EV -1.67%
الأفضلية -0.443%
Kelly -0.604%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.12%26.16%26.08%27.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.503.523.7632.26%28.54%28.37%26.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.18%EV -3.86%E -1.81%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -2.37%E -0.698%K -0.989%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV -5.07%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 16:59
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.22%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 16:59
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 45.44%EV -5.67%E -2.71%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -6.97%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -1.67%E -0.443%K -0.604%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.12%E -2.94%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.41%EV -6.57%E -3.18%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 17:00
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.79%EV -6.57%E -3.18%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.26%EV -5.82%E -1.77%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -10.04%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.53%EV -7.02%E -3.41%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 17:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.24%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 17:00
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 16:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 16:59
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -4.54%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 16:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 16:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:59
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 17:00
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 16:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 16:59
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 17:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -7.48%E -3.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.39%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.938%E -0.272%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 17:00
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -0.938%E -0.272%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 16:59
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 16:56
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 17:00
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 17:00
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 17:00
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 17:00
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.07%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -6.68%E -2.06%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:54
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.93%E -3.89%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.16%E -2.02%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 17:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -8.83%E -4.37%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.58%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.25%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-20 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 17:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.12%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 16:58
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 16:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-20 16:59
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -9.73%E -4.87%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-20 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -10.63%E -5.37%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.85%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 17:00
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -11.09%E -5.63%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -9.77%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 16:58
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.39%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.74%EV -11.56%E -3.75%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.88%EV -10.56%E -3.09%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 16:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.97%EV -11.99%E -6.15%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.23%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-20 17:00
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -12.44%E -6.41%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.99%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.08%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-20 17:00
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.27%EV -12.89%E -6.68%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -12.39%E -3.70%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.91%EV -13.34%E -6.95%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.79%E -7.22%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -17.31%E -6.01%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.01%G +0.000%19.3%2026-04-20 17:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-20 17:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%1.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 45.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%5.1%2026-04-20 17:00