Szkoła Kursów

Lechia Gdańsk v Legia Warszawa

Początek: 2026-05-17 15:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Lechia Gdańsk 1–2 Legia Warszawa

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Lechia Gdańsk (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 35.54%2.81kurs godziwy
EV -2.26%
Przewaga -0.823%
Kelly -1.29%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.24%35.46%35.63%36.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.41%38.46%36.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Legia Warszawa (Goście)

Prognoza 37.23%2.69kurs godziwy
EV -1.71%
Przewaga -0.649%
Kelly -1.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.21%37.27%37.17%38.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.442.442.6443.48%41.00%40.98%37.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.23%3.67kurs godziwy
EV -1.97%
Przewaga -0.548%
Kelly -0.758%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.10%27.26%27.20%28.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.80%29.41%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 15:44
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 15:44
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 15:44
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 15:44
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.65%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.46%EV -1.71%E -0.649%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.97%E -0.548%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 04:09
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -6.18%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 05:35
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -6.18%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 05:35
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:44
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:44
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:44
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:45
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 15:44
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 06:50
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -1.97%E -0.548%K -0.758%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 04:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 15:45
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 15:44
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-10 15:44
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:55
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.62%EV -5.81%E -2.30%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -9.05%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.62%EV -5.81%E -2.30%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -9.05%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 04:10
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 04:10
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 05:20
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 08:04
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.37%EV -13.63%E -5.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 15:45
Bovada2.59I 38.61%NM 35.66%EV -7.95%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.36%EV -5.44%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:34
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 35.66%EV -7.95%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.36%EV -5.44%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 10:39
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.94%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.10%EV -8.04%E -3.26%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 06:59
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 04:10
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 04:10
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:39
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:39
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 06:50
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 04:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.57%EV -13.99%E -5.78%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.10%EV -13.63%E -5.87%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.31%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-17 04:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.97%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-17 10:40