La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lechia Gdańsk v Legia Warszawa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Predicción 35.54%2.81momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.823%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.24%35.46%35.63%36.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.41%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Legia Warszawa (Visitante)
Predicción 37.23%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.21%37.27%37.17%38.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.442.6443.48%41.00%40.98%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -0.758%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.10%27.26%27.20%28.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.80%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.65%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.46%EV -1.71%E -0.649%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.97%E -0.548%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 04:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -6.18%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 05:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -6.18%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 05:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -1.97%E -0.548%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 04:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.62%EV -5.81%E -2.30%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -9.05%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.62%EV -5.81%E -2.30%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -9.05%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 05:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 08:04 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.37%EV -13.63%E -5.87%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 15:45 |
| Bovada | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.66%EV -7.95%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.36%EV -5.44%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:34 |
| BetUS | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.66%EV -7.95%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.36%EV -5.44%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.94%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.10%EV -8.04%E -3.26%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 06:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.57%EV -13.99%E -5.78%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.10%EV -13.63%E -5.87%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.31%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.97% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |