L’École des cotesLechia Gdańsk v Legia Warszawa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Prévision 35.54%2.81cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.823%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.24%35.46%35.63%36.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.41%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Legia Warszawa (Visiteur)
Prévision 37.23%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.649%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.21%37.27%37.17%38.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.442.6443.48%41.00%40.98%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.23%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.548%
Kelly -0.758%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.10%27.26%27.20%28.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6033.33%29.80%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -2.26%E -0.823%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.65%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.46%EV -1.71%E -0.649%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.90%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.97%E -0.548%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 04:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -6.18%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 05:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -6.18%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 05:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.25%EV -9.53%E -3.92%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.06%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -1.97%E -0.548%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 04:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.43%EV -5.82%E -2.20%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.29%EV -6.53%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-10 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 07:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.62%EV -5.81%E -2.30%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -9.05%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.62%EV -5.81%E -2.30%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -9.05%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betway | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 05:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 08:04 |
| 888sport | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -7.60%E -2.92%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.37%EV -13.63%E -5.87%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-10 15:45 |
| Bovada | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.66%EV -7.95%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.36%EV -5.44%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:34 |
| BetUS | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.66%EV -7.95%E -3.07%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.36%EV -5.44%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -8.31%E -3.22%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.17%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.94%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.10%EV -8.04%E -3.26%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-17 06:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -9.37%E -3.68%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-17 06:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.15%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 07:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -11.15%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-17 10:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.93%E -5.28%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.57%EV -13.99%E -5.78%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.10%EV -13.63%E -5.87%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.70%E -6.13%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -14.37%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.31%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-05-17 04:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.36% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.58% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Kalshi | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.97% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.46% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-17 10:40 |