Language:English
Lechia Gdańsk v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Prediction 47.66%2.10fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.28%47.65%47.79%48.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.942.0055.56%51.72%51.55%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 26.35%3.80fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.436%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.37%26.20%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.453.7531.75%28.97%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.458%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.07%25.97%26.01%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7832.26%28.67%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lechia Gdańsk (Local): 47.66%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 26.35%; Draw: 26.00%. For Korona Kielce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.73%EV -6.12%E -3.11%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.81%EV -1.99%E -0.535%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.46%EV -1.99%E -0.528%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.12%E -3.11%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -2.51%E -0.670%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.89%EV -3.31%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -1.73%E -0.458%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.94%EV -5.68%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.94%EV -6.93%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 18:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 18:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 17:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.45%E -4.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.45%E -4.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 18:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -9.93%E -5.25%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.23%EV -12.13%E -3.59%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-06 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -17.01%E -5.40%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.36%E -6.11%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 18:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.84%E -6.40%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -19.41%E -6.26%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.63%EV -14.22%E -7.90%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98% | 2.6% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 18:01 |