La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lechia Gdańsk v Korona Kielce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Predicción 47.66%2.10momio equitativo
EV -4.69%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -4.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.28%47.65%47.79%48.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.931.942.0055.56%51.72%51.55%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Korona Kielce (Visitante)
Predicción 26.35%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.320%
Kelly -0.436%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.37%26.20%27.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.453.453.7531.75%28.97%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.458%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.07%25.97%26.01%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7832.26%28.67%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.73%EV -6.12%E -3.11%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.81%EV -1.99%E -0.535%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.46%EV -1.99%E -0.528%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.12%E -3.11%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 17:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -2.51%E -0.670%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.89%EV -3.31%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -1.73%E -0.458%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.94%EV -5.68%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.94%EV -6.93%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 18:08 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 18:09 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 17:51 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.45%E -4.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.45%E -4.98%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 18:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -9.93%E -5.25%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.23%EV -12.13%E -3.59%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-06 18:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -17.01%E -5.40%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.36%E -6.11%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 18:01 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.84%E -6.40%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -19.41%E -6.26%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-06 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.63%EV -14.22%E -7.90%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-06 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98% | 2.6% | 2026-04-06 18:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-04-06 18:01 |