L’École des cotes

Lechia Gdańsk v Korona Kielce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lechia Gdańsk (Local)

Prévision 47.66%2.10cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -4.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.28%47.65%47.79%48.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.942.0055.56%51.72%51.55%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Korona Kielce (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.35%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.320%
Kelly -0.436%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%26.37%26.20%27.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.453.453.7531.75%28.97%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.458%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.07%25.97%26.01%27.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.7832.26%28.67%28.57%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 18:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:50
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:50
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:50
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:50
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 17:50
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 17:50
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 17:50
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 17:50
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.31%EV -4.69%E -2.34%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 17:50
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:00
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -5.64%E -2.85%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:00
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.73%EV -6.12%E -3.11%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.81%EV -1.99%E -0.535%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.46%EV -1.99%E -0.528%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:10
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.12%E -3.11%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 18:10
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -6.59%E -3.36%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 17:50
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 17:49
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -2.51%E -0.670%K -0.914%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 18:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 18:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 18:01
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 18:00
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -7.07%E -3.63%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 17:50
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.20%E -0.320%K -0.436%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -3.81%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 18:10
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.89%EV -3.31%E -0.901%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -1.73%E -0.458%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 18:10
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.52%EV -7.55%E -3.89%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -11.74%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 17:50
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.94%EV -5.68%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.94%EV -6.93%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:08
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.28%EV -8.02%E -4.16%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 17:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 17:50
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 18:09
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.17%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.71%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 17:51
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 17:50
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 17:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 17:50
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 46.53%EV -8.98%E -4.70%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 17:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.45%E -4.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.45%E -4.98%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 18:08
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.91%EV -9.93%E -5.25%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.23%EV -12.13%E -3.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 18:09
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.52%EV -10.41%E -5.54%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.76%EV -17.01%E -5.40%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 18:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:50
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.88%E -5.82%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -6.41%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:09
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.36%E -6.11%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.91%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 18:01
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.84%E -6.40%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -7.79%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.61%E -3.42%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 17:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 47.94%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.07%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -12.79%E -6.99%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -19.41%E -6.26%K -9.24%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-06 17:50
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.63%EV -14.22%E -7.90%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.38%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -14.21%E -4.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-06 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-04-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-04-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-04-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-04-06 18:10
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%2.6%2026-04-06 18:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-06 18:01