Language:English
Lechia Gdańsk v Jagiellonia Białystok
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Prediction 40.66%2.46fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.655%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.25%40.59%40.51%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.252.5048.78%44.28%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit)
Prediction 33.65%2.97fair odd
EV -0.734%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.376%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.39%33.70%33.69%36.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.9540.00%37.24%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.81%25.71%25.80%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.503.7533.33%28.48%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lechia Gdańsk (Local): 40.66%; Jagiellonia Białystok (Visit): 33.65%; Draw: 25.70%. For Lechia Gdańsk (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV +1.64%E +0.655%K +1.09%G +0.018% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -14.19%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.14%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.35%EV -6.79%E -2.45%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.99%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -4.87%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -0.734%E -0.249%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -4.87%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -0.734%E -0.249%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.84%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.64%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.64%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 19:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.24%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -14.19%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -9.75%E -4.39%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -8.01%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -10.15%E -4.59%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -22.91%E -7.64%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.59%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%EV -13.81%E -6.51%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.00%EV -15.20%E -6.03%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.58%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-06 19:27 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -15.88%E -6.35%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -17.77%E -5.55%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |