La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lechia Gdańsk v Jagiellonia Białystok
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lechia Gdańsk (Local)
Predicción 40.66%2.46momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.655%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.25%40.59%40.51%41.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.262.252.5048.78%44.28%44.44%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jagiellonia Białystok (Visitante)
Predicción 33.65%2.97momio equitativo
EV -0.734%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.376%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.39%33.70%33.69%36.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.702.9540.00%37.24%37.04%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.70%3.89momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -0.971%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.81%25.71%25.80%28.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.7533.33%28.48%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV +1.64%E +0.655%K +1.09%G +0.018% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -14.19%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 19:26 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.14%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.35%EV -6.79%E -2.45%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.99%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -4.87%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -0.734%E -0.249%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -4.87%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -0.734%E -0.249%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.84%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:31 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.64%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.64%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:31 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-06 19:31 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.24%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -14.19%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -9.75%E -4.39%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -8.01%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| Bovada | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -10.15%E -4.59%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -22.91%E -7.64%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.59%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-06 19:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%EV -13.81%E -6.51%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.00%EV -15.20%E -6.03%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.58%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-06 19:27 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -15.88%E -6.35%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -17.77%E -5.55%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 19:30 |