L’École des cotes

Lechia Gdańsk v Jagiellonia Białystok

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 19:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Lechia Gdańsk (Local)

Prévision 40.66%2.46cote équitable
EV +1.64%
Avantage +0.655%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.25%40.59%40.51%41.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.262.252.5048.78%44.28%44.44%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.65%2.97cote équitable
EV -0.734%
Avantage -0.249%
Kelly -0.376%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.39%33.70%33.69%36.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.9540.00%37.24%37.04%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.81%25.71%25.80%28.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.7533.33%28.48%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.25%EV +1.64%E +0.655%K +1.09%G +0.018%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.52%EV -14.19%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 19:26
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:30
1xBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.14%EV -3.65%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.35%EV -6.79%E -2.45%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -4.16%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:29
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.99%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:30
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -4.87%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -0.734%E -0.249%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 19:29
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -4.87%E -2.08%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -0.734%E -0.249%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 19:30
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.30%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.84%EV -1.41%E -0.480%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV -4.41%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 19:29
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.89%EV -5.27%E -2.26%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:29
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:30
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-06 19:30
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 19:30
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 19:30
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 19:31
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -6.49%E -2.82%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 19:30
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 19:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -7.31%E -3.20%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 19:30
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -4.10%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:29
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.64%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -3.64%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 19:30
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 19:29
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:29
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:31
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 19:29
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 19:30
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-06 19:31
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.24%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-06 19:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 19:30
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -14.19%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-06 19:30
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -9.75%E -4.39%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%EV -3.76%E -1.32%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -8.01%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 19:29
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -10.15%E -4.59%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.84%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 19:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 19:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-06 19:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-06 19:30
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-06 19:30
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-06 19:30
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -10.83%E -4.09%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-06 19:30
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-06 19:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-06 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-06 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.77%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.80%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -22.91%E -7.64%K -11.46%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-06 19:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -12.59%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-06 19:29
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%EV -13.81%E -6.51%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.00%EV -15.20%E -6.03%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.58%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-06 19:27
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-06 19:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -12.64%E -3.72%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-06 19:30
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -16.66%E -8.13%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -15.88%E -6.35%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -17.77%E -5.55%K -8.08%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-06 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-03-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-03-06 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-03-06 19:30
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.53%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.94%2.8%2026-03-06 19:30
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.0%2026-03-06 19:30