The School of Odds

Lech Poznań v Cracovia Kraków

2026-07-25 18:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Lech Poznań (Local)

Prediction 63.70%1.57fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -3.87%
Kelly -11.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.63%63.67%63.71%64.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.441.4872%69%69%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cracovia Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 14.90%6.71fair odd
EV +0.581%
Edge +0.086%
Kelly +0.101%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.09%14.90%14.96%17.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.905.996.006.7520%17%17%15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.40%4.67fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -0.821%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.43%21.33%22.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.804.184.254.5026%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.28%EV -5.73%E -3.87%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +0.581%E +0.086%K +0.101%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:50
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.14%E -0.484%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.83%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 18:48
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.41%EV -8.91%E -6.23%K -20.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -3.14%E -0.484%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -7.97%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:50
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -3.14%E -0.484%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 18:55
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.80%EV -7.00%E -4.80%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 14.69%EV -5.53%E -0.872%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 19:10
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.90%EV -7.64%E -5.27%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.71%EV -6.12%E -0.972%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.33%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 19:05
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 63.66%EV -5.73%E -3.87%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.17%EV -7.47%E -1.20%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.17%EV -4.76%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 20:00
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 63.33%EV -7.00%E -4.80%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -10.59%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -6.90%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 18:59
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.59%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.69%E -0.821%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 19:10
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.64%E -5.27%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.59%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 00:08
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -7.64%E -5.27%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -10.59%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 00:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.59%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.59%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 19:45
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.28%E -5.75%K -18.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -10.59%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 19:45
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.59%E -1.77%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.11%E -2.41%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 18:53
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.73%E -3.87%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -12.08%E -2.05%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 19:45
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.73%E -3.87%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -12.08%E -2.05%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.04%E -2.13%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 19:45
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.62%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.68%EV -18.05%E -3.28%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-18 18:50
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.55%EV -10.82%E -7.73%K -27.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.96%EV -19.54%E -3.62%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.50%EV -18.03%E -4.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-18 19:50
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.42%EV -9.55%E -6.73%K -22.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.77%EV -22.52%E -4.33%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.80%EV -14.39%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-18 19:45
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 60.63%EV -11.46%E -8.24%K -29.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.20%EV -26.99%E -5.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -18.67%E -4.91%K -6.67%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-18 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%13.3%2026-07-18 19:45