La escuela de los momiosLech Poznań v Cracovia Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lech Poznań (Local)
Predicción 60.14%1.66momio equitativo
EV -4.37%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -7.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.66%60.19%60.10%63.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.521.5971.43%66.18%65.79%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cracovia Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 17.56%5.70momio equitativo
EV +7.11%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.099%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.16%17.48%17.67%19.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.405.406.1021.74%18.52%18.52%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.30%4.48momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.481%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.22%22.32%22.23%23.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.684.114.154.3927.17%24.32%24.10%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.21%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -12.79%E -8.82%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +5.36%E +0.893%K +1.07%G +0.057% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -12.79%E -8.82%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV +5.36%E +0.893%K +1.07%G +0.057% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -13.39%E -9.30%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV +5.36%E +0.893%K +1.07%G +0.057% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.72%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.49%EV +1.84%E +0.318%K +0.384%G +0.007% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.79%EV -2.11%E -0.481%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -7.38%E -4.79%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +1.84%E +0.318%K +0.384%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -14.00%E -9.79%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV +1.84%E +0.318%K +0.384%G +0.007% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.09%EV -15.80%E -11.29%K -39.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV +0.965%E +0.168%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -5.58%E -3.55%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.58%E -3.55%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.58%E -5.65%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.71%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -4.30%E -0.789%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.10%EV -9.18%E -6.08%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.93%EV -4.30%E -0.789%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| BetUS | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.10%EV -9.18%E -6.08%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.93%EV -4.30%E -0.789%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -8.58%E -5.65%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.31%EV -12.79%E -8.82%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-25 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.18%E -3.96%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -6.94%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.18%E -3.96%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -6.94%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -3.45%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -7.38%E -4.79%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.57%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.57%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.58%E -3.55%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 17:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -14.15%E -3.68%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-25 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.58%E -5.65%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.20%EV -9.18%E -6.08%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.27%E -4.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.27%E -4.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.51%EV -14.00%E -9.79%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.31%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.19%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-07-25 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -8.58%E -5.65%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -13.96%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.51%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.79%EV -13.96%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.69%EV -17.94%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-25 17:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.59%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-25 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -19.23%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -19.23%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -19.23%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.22% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.22% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.22% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |