L’École des cotesLech Poznań v Cracovia Kraków
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lech Poznań (Local)
Prévision 60.14%1.66cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.75%
Kelly -7.41%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.66%60.19%60.10%63.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.521.5971.43%66.18%65.79%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cracovia Kraków (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.56%5.70cote équitable
EV +7.11%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.099%
avec la cote maximale 6.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.16%17.48%17.67%19.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.405.406.1021.74%18.52%18.52%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.30%4.48cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.481%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.22%22.32%22.23%23.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.684.114.154.3927.17%24.32%24.10%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.86%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.35%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.02%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.29%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -10.99%E -7.43%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.21%EV +7.11%E +1.17%K +1.39%G +0.099% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -12.79%E -8.82%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV +5.36%E +0.893%K +1.07%G +0.057% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.02%EV -12.79%E -8.82%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV +5.36%E +0.893%K +1.07%G +0.057% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -13.39%E -9.30%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV +5.36%E +0.893%K +1.07%G +0.057% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.72%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.49%EV +1.84%E +0.318%K +0.384%G +0.007% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.79%EV -2.11%E -0.481%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.93%EV -7.38%E -4.79%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV +1.84%E +0.318%K +0.384%G +0.007% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -14.00%E -9.79%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.54%EV +1.84%E +0.318%K +0.384%G +0.007% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.09%EV -15.80%E -11.29%K -39.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.36%EV +0.965%E +0.168%K +0.203%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -5.58%E -3.55%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -4.12%E -0.958%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-25 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.58%E -3.55%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -8.58%E -5.65%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -3.42%E -0.623%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.71%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.42%EV -4.30%E -0.789%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Bovada | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.10%EV -9.18%E -6.08%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.93%EV -4.30%E -0.789%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| BetUS | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.10%EV -9.18%E -6.08%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.93%EV -4.30%E -0.789%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -8.58%E -5.65%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -5.23%E -1.23%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.31%EV -12.79%E -8.82%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV -5.18%E -0.959%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-25 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.18%E -3.96%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -6.94%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.18%E -3.96%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.67%EV -6.94%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.81%E -1.49%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -3.45%E -0.796%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -7.38%E -4.79%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -8.69%E -1.67%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.57%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.72%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -9.57%E -1.86%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.31%EV -7.46%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.58%E -3.55%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 17:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.58%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| betano_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.98%E -5.22%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -14.15%E -3.68%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-25 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -8.58%E -5.65%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.20%EV -9.18%E -6.08%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.27%E -4.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.27%E -4.02%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-25 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.51%EV -14.00%E -9.79%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.31%EV -12.20%E -2.44%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.19%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-07-25 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -8.58%E -5.65%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -13.96%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.35%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.51%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.79%EV -13.96%E -2.85%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.69%EV -17.94%E -4.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-25 17:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.79%E -6.52%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -16.59%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-25 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -19.23%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.78%E -4.37%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -19.23%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -13.04%E -3.34%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-25 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -10.39%E -6.97%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -19.23%E -4.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -10.81%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-25 17:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.22% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.22% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.22% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-07-25 18:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 18:05 |