Language:English
Korona Kielce v Widzew Łódź
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Korona Kielce (Local)
Prediction 38.02%2.63fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.714%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.01%38.00%38.04%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.432.6044.44%41.00%41.15%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Widzew Łódź (Visit)
Prediction 30.88%3.24fair odd
EV -0.872%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.395%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.76%31.00%30.88%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.902.903.2137.74%34.44%34.48%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.10%3.22fair odd
EV -0.490%
Edge -0.153%
Kelly -0.223%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.41%31.00%31.08%32.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.962.953.2037.04%33.80%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Korona Kielce (Local): 38.02%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 30.88%; Draw: 31.10%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.490%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.31%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -0.872%E -0.272%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.73%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -0.490%E -0.153%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-15 18:28 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -8.57%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -8.57%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -16.62%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.63%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.21%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -2.36%E -0.750%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.97%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.33%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.97%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.33%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -16.62%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.98%EV -7.23%E -2.96%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.20%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.61%E -3.13%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.22%EV -7.61%E -3.13%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.22%EV -18.17%E -6.85%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -7.99%E -3.30%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 18:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -7.99%E -3.30%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 18:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.490%E -0.153%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.75%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.89%E -4.17%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.89%E -4.17%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.65%E -4.53%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -10.65%E -4.53%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.22%EV -11.79%E -5.08%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -10.75%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-15 18:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -12.55%E -5.46%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.55%E -5.46%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.04%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -14.45%E -6.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -14.45%E -6.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -14.46%E -5.22%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -13.86%E -5.00%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-05-15 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35% | 1.3% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.08% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 1.8% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 18:30 |