L’École des cotes

Korona Kielce v Widzew Łódź

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 18:34 UTC

Score final : Korona Kielce 1–0 Widzew Łódź

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prévision 38.02%2.63cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.440%
Kelly -0.714%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.01%38.00%38.04%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.432.6044.44%41.00%41.15%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.88%3.24cote équitable
EV -0.872%
Avantage -0.272%
Kelly -0.395%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.76%31.00%30.88%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.902.903.2137.74%34.44%34.48%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.10%3.22cote équitable
EV -0.490%
Avantage -0.153%
Kelly -0.223%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.41%31.00%31.08%32.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.962.953.2037.04%33.80%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:19
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:30
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.31%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -0.872%E -0.272%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.73%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 18:29
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -0.490%E -0.153%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 18:28
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -8.57%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:30
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -8.57%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:30
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -16.62%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-15 18:30
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.63%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.21%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -2.36%E -0.750%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 18:29
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.97%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.33%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.97%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.33%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 18:30
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -16.62%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 37.98%EV -7.23%E -2.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.20%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:29
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.61%E -3.13%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:30
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.22%EV -7.61%E -3.13%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.22%EV -18.17%E -6.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 18:30
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -7.99%E -3.30%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:27
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -7.99%E -3.30%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:28
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.490%E -0.153%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:30
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:29
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:29
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:29
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.75%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 18:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:29
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 18:30
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 18:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 18:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.89%E -4.17%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.89%E -4.17%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.65%E -4.53%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -10.65%E -4.53%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 18:29
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.22%EV -11.79%E -5.08%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -10.75%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 18:28
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -12.55%E -5.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.55%E -5.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.04%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-15 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -14.45%E -6.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-15 18:29
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -14.45%E -6.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -14.46%E -5.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -13.86%E -5.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-15 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%1.8%2026-05-15 18:30
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-05-15 18:30
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-05-15 18:30