La scuola delle quote

Korona Kielce v Widzew Łódź

Inizio: 2026-05-15 18:34 UTC

Finale: Korona Kielce 1–0 Widzew Łódź

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Korona Kielce (Casa)

Previsione 38.02%2.63quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.440%
Kelly -0.714%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.01%38.00%38.04%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.442.432.6044.44%41.00%41.15%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Widzew Łódź (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.88%3.24quota equa
EV -0.872%
Vantaggio -0.272%
Kelly -0.395%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.76%31.00%30.88%33.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.902.903.2137.74%34.44%34.48%31.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.10%3.22quota equa
EV -0.490%
Vantaggio -0.153%
Kelly -0.223%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.41%31.00%31.08%32.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.962.953.2037.04%33.80%33.90%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -1.14%E -0.440%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:30
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:19
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -5.15%E -1.69%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-15 18:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -3.04%E -1.19%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:30
Pinnacle2.51I 39.84%NM 38.31%EV -4.56%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.96%EV -0.872%E -0.272%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.73%EV -5.78%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 18:29
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -0.490%E -0.153%K -0.223%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 18:28
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -4.95%E -1.98%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -8.57%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:30
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.75%EV -8.57%E -2.92%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 18:30
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.24%EV -5.71%E -2.30%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.29%EV -16.62%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-15 18:30
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.57%EV -6.47%E -2.63%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.21%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -2.36%E -0.750%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 18:29
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.97%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.33%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:30
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.97%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -7.33%E -2.46%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 18:30
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -6.85%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -16.62%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 37.98%EV -7.23%E -2.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.28%EV -5.50%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -9.20%E -3.15%K -4.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 18:29
Codere (IT)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -7.61%E -3.13%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 18:30
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.22%EV -7.61%E -3.13%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.22%EV -18.17%E -6.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -10.44%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-15 18:30
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -7.99%E -3.30%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:27
BetUS2.42I 41.32%NM 38.05%EV -7.99%E -3.30%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -5.81%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.75%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 18:28
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.490%E -0.153%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.27%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:30
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 18:30
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:29
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-15 18:29
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -3.60%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 18:29
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.75%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 18:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 18:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.75%E -3.64%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 18:29
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-15 18:30
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-15 18:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 18:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.51%E -3.99%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.93%E -4.62%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-15 18:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.89%E -4.17%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.89%E -4.17%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.82%E -3.39%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-15 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.65%E -4.53%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.72%EV -8.26%E -2.80%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -10.65%E -4.53%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -6.71%E -2.24%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-15 18:29
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.22%EV -11.79%E -5.08%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.89%EV -10.75%E -3.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-15 18:28
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -12.55%E -5.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-15 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -12.55%E -5.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -16.04%E -5.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-15 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -14.45%E -6.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -11.37%E -3.99%K -6.15%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-15 18:29
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -14.45%E -6.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -14.46%E -5.22%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 30.95%EV -13.86%E -5.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-15 18:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.35%1.3%2026-05-15 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%1.8%2026-05-15 18:30
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.40%2.1%2026-05-15 18:30
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.47%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-05-15 18:30