Language:English
Korona Kielce v Górnik Zabrze
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Korona Kielce (Local)
Prediction 34.95%2.86fair odd
EV -0.756%
Edge -0.266%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.83%34.86%35.08%36.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.612.602.8440.49%38.37%38.46%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Górnik Zabrze (Visit)
Prediction 36.16%2.77fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.80%36.17%36.14%37.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.07%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.739%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.47%28.97%28.78%30.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.203.4034.48%31.66%31.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Korona Kielce (Local): 34.95%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 36.16%; Draw: 28.89%. For Korona Kielce (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.84, with an expected value of -0.756%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.90%EV -0.756%E -0.266%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -3.08%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -7.84%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 18:26 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -2.15%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-15 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.16%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.86%EV -4.60%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -6.70%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.16%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.68%EV -4.53%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.68%EV -4.53%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-15 15:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.25%EV -6.00%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.84%EV -7.06%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.91%EV -11.02%E -3.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.25%EV -6.00%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.84%EV -7.06%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 29.91%EV -11.02%E -3.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.16%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.97%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 12:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-15 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -8.09%E -3.08%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.97%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-15 15:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.09%E -3.08%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -8.09%E -3.08%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -16.22%E -5.59%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.13%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 12:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.13%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 13:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-15 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-15 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-15 16:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 18:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-15 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-15 13:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.17%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -13.20%E -5.50%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.18%EV -9.86%E -3.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-15 18:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.20%E -5.50%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-15 07:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -15.01%E -6.39%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-15 18:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -13.34%E -5.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -13.34%E -5.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -13.34%E -5.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-15 18:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -13.34%E -5.38%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.33%EV -13.69%E -5.54%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.06%EV -12.48%E -5.16%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 18:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07% | 0.8% | 2026-09-15 18:11 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74% | 1.0% | 2026-09-15 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.11% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.12% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.77% | 1.8% | 2026-09-15 18:26 |