The School of Odds
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Korona Kielce v Górnik Zabrze

2026-09-15 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prediction 36.31%2.75fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.06%36.32%36.30%38.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.542.6643.48%39.69%39.45%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Górnik Zabrze (Visit)

Prediction 36.28%2.76fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.42%36.26%36.29%37.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.522.502.6540.82%39.69%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.507%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.42%27.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.333.6031.25%29.94%30.08%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Korona Kielce (Local): 36.31%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 36.28%; Draw: 27.41%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -1.32%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%EV -3.41%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -6.77%E -2.63%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.53%EV -5.70%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -4.87%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:06
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -4.87%E -1.86%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.99%EV -6.41%E -2.48%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 18:06
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.17%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 17:20
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:11
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.59%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:15
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.79%EV -5.95%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -8.58%E -3.41%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:06
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.79%EV -5.95%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -8.58%E -3.41%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.35%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:06
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.87%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:20
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:09
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:04
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -7.41%E -2.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 18:40
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.50%E -3.37%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.50%E -3.37%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -4.95%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.32%E -0.366%K -0.507%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:26
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:26
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.06%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:26
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 16:25
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.80%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 18:35
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 17:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.04%E -4.51%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.85%E -5.36%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.31%E -3.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.54%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.30%EV -13.94%E -5.88%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.08%EV -8.58%E -3.41%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -14.67%E -6.24%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.12%E -4.54%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.91%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 16:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -16.48%E -7.17%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -7.49%E -2.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.28%E -3.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 35.35%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.81%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%12.3%2026-09-12 19:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 34.88%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%12.9%2026-09-12 19:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 34.88%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%12.9%2026-09-12 19:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 34.88%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%12.9%2026-09-12 19:25
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 35.07%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.10%14.1%2026-09-12 19:40