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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Korona Kielce v Górnik Zabrze

2026-09-15 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Korona Kielce (主队)

预测 36.29%2.76公平赔率
EV -3.47%
优势 -1.30%
Kelly -2.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.66

博彩公司预测分布
35.06%36.32%36.30%38.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.522.542.6643.48%39.69%39.45%37.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

Górnik Zabrze (客队)

预测 36.31%2.75公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -1.42%
Kelly -2.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
34.42%36.30%36.30%37.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.522.502.6540.82%39.74%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.40%3.65公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.382%
Kelly -0.528%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.77%27.39%27.40%28.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.343.333.6031.25%29.91%30.08%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Korona Kielce (主队)：36.29%；Górnik Zabrze (客队)：36.31%；平局：27.40%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.65。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-1.37%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.61%EV -3.47%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -6.67%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.53%EV -5.76%E -1.67%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -4.92%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -7.76%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.39%EV -4.92%E -1.88%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.51%EV -7.76%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 20:05
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -1.37%E -0.382%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.22%E -2.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 17:20
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:11
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.65%E -2.17%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:15
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.79%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -8.49%E -3.37%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.40%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:06
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.79%EV -6.01%E -2.32%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.78%EV -8.49%E -3.37%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.40%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:06
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:20
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:09
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:04
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -7.46%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 18:40
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.55%E -3.39%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.37%E -0.382%K -0.528%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:26
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:26
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.11%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 17:26
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.27%E -3.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 16:25
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -6.85%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 18:35
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 17:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.09%E -4.53%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -12.90%E -5.38%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.22%E -3.69%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.59%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.30%EV -13.99%E -5.90%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.08%EV -8.49%E -3.37%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -14.72%E -6.26%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.03%E -4.50%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -10.96%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 16:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -16.53%E -7.19%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.33%E -3.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 16:19
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 35.19%2.44I 40.98%NM 36.92%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.89%11.0%2026-09-12 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 34.43%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%14.4%2026-09-12 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 34.43%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%14.4%2026-09-12 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 34.43%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.37%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%14.4%2026-09-12 20:20
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 36.15%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.86%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%15.2%2026-09-12 20:25