La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Korona Kielce v Górnik Zabrze

Inicio: 2026-09-15 18:30 UTC

Final: Korona Kielce 0–2 Górnik Zabrze

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Predicción 34.95%2.86momio equitativo
EV -0.756%
Ventaja -0.266%
Kelly -0.411%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.83%34.86%35.08%36.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.472.612.602.8440.49%38.37%38.46%35.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)

Predicción 36.16%2.77momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.872%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.80%36.17%36.14%37.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.562.552.7042.55%39.07%39.22%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.89%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.739%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.47%28.97%28.78%30.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.203.4034.48%31.66%31.30%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Korona Kielce (Local): 34.95%; Górnik Zabrze (Visitante): 36.16%; Empate: 28.89%. Para Korona Kielce (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.86. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.84, con un valor esperado de -0.756%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.90%EV -0.756%E -0.266%K -0.411%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -3.08%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -7.84%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 18:26
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -2.15%E -0.769%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-15 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.16%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 18:04
Bovada🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 33.86%EV -4.60%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.83%EV -6.70%E -2.59%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.16%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.68%EV -4.53%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 15:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.68%EV -4.53%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 15:11
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.25%EV -6.00%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.84%EV -7.06%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.91%EV -11.02%E -3.58%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.25%EV -6.00%E -2.23%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.84%EV -7.06%E -2.75%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.91%EV -11.02%E -3.58%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 18:06
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -4.16%E -1.57%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.97%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 12:56
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 18:06
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.40%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 14:05
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -8.09%E -3.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -5.97%E -2.30%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 15:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -8.09%E -3.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -8.09%E -3.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -16.22%E -5.59%K -8.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.13%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 12:56
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.13%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-15 13:00
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 13:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -5.25%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 15:05
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-15 18:05
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:21
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:21
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:21
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -2.36%E -0.872%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 18:21
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 13:00
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 18:06
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 18:06
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.40%E -4.65%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-15 13:00
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -9.59%E -3.84%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 18:21
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.17%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -13.20%E -5.50%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.18%EV -9.86%E -3.16%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-15 18:03
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -13.20%E -5.50%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-15 07:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -15.01%E -6.39%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.77%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-15 18:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -13.34%E -5.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 18:21
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -13.34%E -5.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -13.34%E -5.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 18:21
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.90%EV -13.34%E -5.38%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.91%EV -7.78%E -3.05%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.33%EV -13.69%E -5.54%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.06%EV -12.48%E -5.16%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-15 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07%0.8%2026-09-15 18:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07%0.8%2026-09-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07%0.8%2026-09-15 18:25
Matchbook◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.07%0.8%2026-09-15 18:11
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.74%1.0%2026-09-15 17:55
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.11%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.77%1.8%2026-09-15 18:26