Language:English
Jagiellonia Białystok v Piast Gliwice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Prediction 51.44%1.94fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.80%51.59%51.30%53.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.761.751.8562.50%56.79%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 23.05%4.34fair odd
EV +2.80%
Edge +0.628%
Kelly +0.809%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 4.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.22%22.95%23.15%24.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.064.004.4627.78%24.66%25.00%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.51%3.92fair odd
EV -0.521%
Edge -0.134%
Kelly -0.180%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%25.46%25.54%26.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.613.603.9031.25%27.69%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jagiellonia Białystok (Local): 51.44%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 23.05%; Draw: 25.51%. For Piast Gliwice (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.17%EV -5.34%E -2.90%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.52%EV +2.80%E +0.628%K +0.809%G +0.023% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -11.52%E -6.70%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -0.887%E -0.206%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -12.55%E -7.38%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -12.55%E -7.38%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.80%E -0.467%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.07%E -0.808%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.52%E -6.70%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 12:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -13.58%E -8.08%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.68%EV -14.60%E -8.80%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -9.45%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -7.92%E -4.42%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -4.34%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.68%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.04%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.34%E -2.90%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -0.521%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -0.521%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.84%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.26%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -10.49%E -6.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.51%EV -11.49%E -3.31%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-14 13:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -14.09%E -8.44%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -18.38%E -5.74%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.79%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.75%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.35%EV -17.69%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.64%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.01%EV -14.55%E -4.34%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.78%EV -13.58%E -8.08%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.37%EV -15.87%E -4.35%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -15.83%E -4.80%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -10.49%E -6.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -17.02%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |