La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jagiellonia Białystok v Piast Gliwice
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Predicción 51.44%1.94momio equitativo
EV -4.83%
Ventaja -2.61%
Kelly -5.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.80%51.59%51.30%53.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.761.751.8562.50%56.79%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Piast Gliwice (Visitante)
Predicción 23.05%4.34momio equitativo
EV +2.80%
Ventaja +0.628%
Kelly +0.809%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.22%22.95%23.15%24.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.064.004.4627.78%24.66%25.00%22.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.51%3.92momio equitativo
EV -0.521%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.180%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.21%25.46%25.54%26.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.613.603.9031.25%27.69%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.17%EV -5.34%E -2.90%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.52%EV +2.80%E +0.628%K +0.809%G +0.023% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -11.52%E -6.70%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -0.887%E -0.206%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -12.55%E -7.38%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -12.55%E -7.38%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.80%E -0.467%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.07%E -0.808%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.52%E -6.70%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 12:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -13.58%E -8.08%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.68%EV -14.60%E -8.80%K -22.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -9.45%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -7.92%E -4.42%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -4.34%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.68%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 13:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.04%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.34%E -2.90%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 13:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -0.521%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -0.521%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.84%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.26%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -10.49%E -6.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.51%EV -11.49%E -3.31%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-14 13:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -14.09%E -8.44%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -18.38%E -5.74%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.79%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.75%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.35%EV -17.69%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.64%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.01%EV -14.55%E -4.34%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-14 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.78%EV -13.58%E -8.08%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.37%EV -15.87%E -4.35%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -15.83%E -4.80%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -10.49%E -6.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -17.02%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 13:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.20% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 12:40 |