مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jagiellonia Białystok v Piast Gliwice

البداية: 2026-03-14 13:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.44%1.94السعر العادل
EV -4.83%
الأفضلية -2.61%
Kelly -5.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.80%51.59%51.30%53.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.761.751.8562.50%56.79%57.14%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Piast Gliwice (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.05%4.34السعر العادل
EV +2.80%
الأفضلية +0.628%
Kelly +0.809%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.22%22.95%23.15%24.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.064.004.4627.78%24.66%25.00%22.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.51%3.92السعر العادل
EV -0.521%
الأفضلية -0.134%
Kelly -0.180%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.21%25.46%25.54%26.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.613.603.9031.25%27.69%27.78%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.17%EV -5.34%E -2.90%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.52%EV +2.80%E +0.628%K +0.809%G +0.023%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 13:25
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 13:00
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV +1.42%E +0.322%K +0.417%G +0.006%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.35%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:55
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:00
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:00
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:00
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 53.61%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV +0.265%E +0.061%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -11.52%E -6.70%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -0.887%E -0.206%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 13:00
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 13:15
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 13:20
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -12.55%E -7.38%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.60%EV -12.55%E -7.38%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.44%EV -2.04%E -0.480%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -6.90%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 13:00
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.80%E -0.467%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 12:15
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.07%E -0.808%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -11.52%E -6.70%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:44
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -13.58%E -8.08%K -19.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 13:00
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 53.68%EV -14.60%E -8.80%K -22.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -3.19%E -0.760%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.10%EV -9.45%E -2.66%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 13:00
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -7.92%E -4.42%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -4.34%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -8.68%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 13:20
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -4.83%E -2.61%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.04%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 13:30
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 13:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:20
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 13:25
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.34%E -2.90%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:25
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 13:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -7.80%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 13:25
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.86%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -8.95%E -5.05%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -0.521%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 13:40
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.86%E -3.20%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -0.521%E -0.134%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 13:40
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.84%EV -6.89%E -3.81%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 13:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:10
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.40%E -4.11%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:25
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 12:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.97%E -5.70%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 12:20
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 49.80%EV -6.37%E -3.50%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.26%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 12:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.91%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.18%EV -12.41%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 13:19
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.13%EV -8.43%E -4.74%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 13:25
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -10.49%E -6.03%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.51%EV -11.49%E -3.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 13:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 50.83%EV -14.09%E -8.44%K -21.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -13.56%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.53%EV -18.38%E -5.74%K -8.35%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-14 12:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.79%EV -11.00%E -6.36%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.75%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -12.00%E -3.48%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 13:25
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 52.35%EV -17.69%E -11.06%K -29.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.64%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.01%EV -14.55%E -4.34%K -6.19%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-14 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 50.78%EV -13.58%E -8.08%K -19.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.37%EV -15.87%E -4.35%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -15.83%E -4.80%K -6.88%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.49%EV -10.49%E -6.03%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.40%EV -17.02%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 13:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-03-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-03-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-03-14 13:35
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-03-14 13:30
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-03-14 13:35
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-03-14 12:40