La scuola delle quote

Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia Warszawa

Inizio: 2026-03-01 13:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Casa)

Previsione 42.25%2.37quota equa
EV -2.81%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.34%42.23%42.26%42.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.192.202.3051.28%45.63%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Legia Warszawa (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.69%3.26quota equa
EV -1.79%
Vantaggio -0.560%
Kelly -0.815%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.57%30.69%30.75%31.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.772.962.953.2036.10%33.77%33.90%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.06%3.70quota equa
EV +0.105%
Vantaggio +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.00%27.09%26.98%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.363.403.7034.72%29.72%29.41%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:19
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.27%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.89%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.84%EV -2.87%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 13:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:19
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.03%EV -4.50%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.84%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 13:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:09
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:10
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:10
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 09:29
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.34%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.70%EV -7.32%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.79%E -0.560%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 09:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 13:19
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 13:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:30
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:19
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:29
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:29
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -7.89%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:07
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:09
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 09:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:19
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:20
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:20
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 13:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 13:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.61%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 09:28
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 09:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 09:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 09:29
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%EV -7.89%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 13:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 13:19
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -12.53%E -6.05%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -11.92%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 13:18
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 13:19
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.59%EV -12.53%E -6.05%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.08%EV -14.99%E -5.41%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 13:30
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -17.60%E -9.03%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -22.08%E -7.67%K -11.74%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-01 13:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-01 13:29
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-01 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:30