مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia Warszawa

البداية: 2026-03-01 13:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.25%2.37السعر العادل
EV -2.81%
الأفضلية -1.22%
Kelly -2.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.34%42.23%42.26%42.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.192.202.3051.28%45.63%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Legia Warszawa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.69%3.26السعر العادل
EV -1.79%
الأفضلية -0.560%
Kelly -0.815%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.57%30.69%30.75%31.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.772.962.953.2036.10%33.77%33.90%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.06%3.70السعر العادل
EV +0.105%
الأفضلية +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.00%27.09%26.98%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.363.403.7034.72%29.72%29.41%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:19
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.27%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.89%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.84%EV -2.87%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 13:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:19
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.03%EV -4.50%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.84%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 13:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:09
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:10
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:10
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 09:29
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.34%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.70%EV -7.32%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.79%E -0.560%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 09:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 13:19
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 13:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:30
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:19
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:29
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:29
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -7.89%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:07
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:09
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 09:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:19
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:20
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:20
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 13:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 13:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.61%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 09:28
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 09:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 09:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 09:29
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%EV -7.89%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 13:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 13:19
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -12.53%E -6.05%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -11.92%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 13:18
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 13:19
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.59%EV -12.53%E -6.05%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.08%EV -14.99%E -5.41%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 13:30
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -17.60%E -9.03%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -22.08%E -7.67%K -11.74%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-01 13:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-01 13:29
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-01 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:30