L’École des cotes

Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia Warszawa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 13:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)

Prévision 42.25%2.37cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.34%42.23%42.26%42.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.192.202.3051.28%45.63%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Legia Warszawa (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.69%3.26cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.560%
Kelly -0.815%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.57%30.69%30.75%31.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.772.962.953.2036.10%33.77%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.06%3.70cote équitable
EV +0.105%
Avantage +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.00%27.09%26.98%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.403.7034.72%29.72%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 13:19
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.27%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.89%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.84%EV -2.87%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 13:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:19
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.03%EV -4.50%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.84%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 13:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:09
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:09
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 13:10
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:10
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 13:09
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 09:29
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.34%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.70%EV -7.32%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.79%E -0.560%K -0.815%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 09:39
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 13:19
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 13:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:30
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 13:19
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:29
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-01 13:29
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -7.89%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 09:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 13:07
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:09
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 13:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 09:39
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:19
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:19
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 13:20
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 13:20
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 13:09
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 13:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.61%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-01 09:28
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-01 09:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-01 09:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 09:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 09:29
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%EV -7.89%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 13:19
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-01 13:19
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -12.53%E -6.05%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -11.92%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 13:18
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-01 13:19
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.59%EV -12.53%E -6.05%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.08%EV -14.99%E -5.41%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-01 13:30
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -17.60%E -9.03%K -18.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-01 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -22.08%E -7.67%K -11.74%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-01 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-03-01 13:29
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-03-01 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.6%2026-03-01 13:30