La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jagiellonia Białystok v Legia Warszawa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jagiellonia Białystok (Local)
Predicción 42.25%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%42.23%42.26%42.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.192.202.3051.28%45.63%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Legia Warszawa (Visitante)
Predicción 30.69%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.560%
Kelly -0.815%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.57%30.69%30.75%31.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.772.962.953.2036.10%33.77%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.06%3.70momio equitativo
EV +0.105%
Ventaja +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%27.09%26.98%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.403.7034.72%29.72%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.27%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.89%EV -4.25%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.84%EV -2.87%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.03%EV -4.50%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.84%EV -5.47%E -1.78%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 13:30 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 13:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 13:10 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.40%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.29%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.34%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.70%EV -7.32%E -2.42%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -1.79%E -0.560%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-01 09:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.66%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Bovada | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| BetUS | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.90%EV -7.46%E -3.41%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.11%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -7.89%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 13:07 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.93%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 09:39 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 13:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-01 13:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 13:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -11.61%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-01 09:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.38%E -6.53%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.93%E -2.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-01 09:39 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-01 09:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%EV -7.89%E -3.62%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -12.53%E -4.40%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.41%EV -12.53%E -6.05%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -11.92%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 13:18 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.01%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.00%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.59%EV -12.53%E -6.05%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.08%EV -14.99%E -5.41%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-01 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.81%EV -17.60%E -9.03%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -17.48%E -5.73%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -11.27%E -5.36%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -14.07%E -5.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -22.08%E -7.67%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-03-01 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.77% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.6% | 2026-03-01 13:30 |