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Górnik Zabrze v Wisła Kraków

2026-08-16 18:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Prediction 44.71%2.24fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.55%44.78%45.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.44%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisła Kraków (Visit)

Prediction 28.72%3.48fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.864%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.65%28.82%28.79%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.183.203.3833.90%31.47%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.56%3.76fair odd
EV -0.384%
Edge -0.102%
Kelly -0.140%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%26.63%26.43%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.7531.25%29.19%29.03%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 44.71%; Wisła Kraków (Visit): 28.72%; Draw: 26.56%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -0.384%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 12:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 13:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 13:04
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -3.86%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 13:04
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.09%EV -5.21%E -2.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -0.384%E -0.102%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 13:04
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.10%E -2.90%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 13:30
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.56%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.04%EV -2.92%E -0.864%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.40%EV -4.63%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 14:00
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.89%E -3.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.72%EV -3.50%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.07%EV -8.62%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 14:19
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 13:09
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.37%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 12:58
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 13:14
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -10.39%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 13:03
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -10.39%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-12 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.84%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-12 12:54
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.84%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.34%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-12 12:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -8.78%E -4.31%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -3.78%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.93%EV -8.62%E -2.51%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.78%E -4.31%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.26%EV -8.78%E -4.31%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.35%E -2.42%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-12 12:48
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-12 12:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-12 12:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -15.27%E -5.18%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -14.99%E -4.69%K -6.82%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-12 13:09
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -12.81%E -6.57%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -13.84%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -13.67%E -4.20%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-12 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 45.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%7.1%2026-08-12 14:29
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 42.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%13.8%2026-08-12 13:04

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