Idioma:Español
Górnik Zabrze v Wisła Kraków
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Predicción 46.17%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.76%46.17%46.21%49.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.911.992.002.1052.36%50.24%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wisła Kraków (Visitante)
Predicción 27.71%3.61momio equitativo
EV +9.46%
Ventaja +2.40%
Kelly +3.21%
Crecimiento +0.304%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.04%27.80%27.63%29.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.9533.33%30.38%30.30%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.12%3.83momio equitativo
EV +0.562%
Ventaja +0.146%
Kelly +0.197%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%26.03%26.16%27.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.543.503.8530.30%28.26%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 46.17%; Wisła Kraków (Visitante): 27.71%; Empate: 26.12%. Para Wisła Kraków (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.61. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +9.46%E +2.40%K +3.21%G +0.304% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.62%E -0.457%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.62%E -0.457%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 17:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.85%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.24%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 18:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +0.562%E +0.146%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 18:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -3.97%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 18:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.76%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.62%EV -9.51%E -4.85%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.83%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.83%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-16 18:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.86%E -5.62%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.99% | 2.6% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |