默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Górnik Zabrze v Wisła Kraków

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 18:15 UTC

最终结果: Górnik Zabrze 2–1 Wisła Kraków

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Górnik Zabrze (主队)

预测 46.17%2.17公平赔率
EV -3.05%
优势 -1.45%
Kelly -2.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.76%46.17%46.21%49.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.911.992.002.1052.36%50.24%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wisła Kraków (客队)

预测 27.71%3.61公平赔率
EV +9.46%
优势 +2.40%
Kelly +3.21%
增长率 +0.304%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布
24.04%27.80%27.63%29.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.293.303.9533.33%30.38%30.30%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.12%3.83公平赔率
EV +0.562%
优势 +0.146%
Kelly +0.197%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.72%26.03%26.16%27.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.543.503.8530.30%28.26%28.57%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Górnik Zabrze (主队):46.17%;Wisła Kraków (客队):27.71%;平局:26.12%。 对于“Wisła Kraków (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.61。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.95,对应+9.46%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +9.46%E +2.40%K +3.21%G +0.304%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.62%E -0.457%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.32%EV -8.13%E -4.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -1.62%E -0.457%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:09
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 17:48
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.85%EV -3.05%E -1.45%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.91%EV -4.39%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.24%EV -4.14%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 18:05
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 18:09
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 17:45
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 18:08
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -8.59%E -4.34%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 18:09
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -6.74%E -3.34%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 18:09
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -5.36%E -2.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +0.562%E +0.146%K +0.197%G +0.001%5.1%2026-08-16 18:09
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:05
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:04
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:05
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.82%E -2.85%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 18:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:08
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -3.97%E -1.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 17:54
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -3.36%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 18:10
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 18:08
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -7.66%E -3.83%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.95%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.76%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.75%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-16 18:09
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.62%EV -9.51%E -4.85%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 18:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -9.97%E -5.11%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.70%EV -10.43%E -5.38%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.83%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.83%EV -10.90%E -5.65%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.09%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-16 18:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -11.82%E -6.19%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.86%E -5.62%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-16 17:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-08-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-08-16 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-08-16 18:10
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-08-16 18:10
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-16 18:10
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.99%2.6%2026-08-16 18:10