Language:English
Górnik Zabrze v Pogoń Szczecin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Prediction 49.11%2.04fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%49.22%48.77%50.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.881.901.9760.24%53.17%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pogoń Szczecin (Visit)
Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV +3.57%
Edge +0.870%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.44%25.14%25.57%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.504.1030.30%27.77%28.57%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.63%3.90fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%25.63%25.66%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.603.7531.25%28.21%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Górnik Zabrze (Local): 49.11%; Pogoń Szczecin (Visit): 25.26%; Draw: 25.63%. For Pogoń Szczecin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.45%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV +3.57%E +0.870%K +1.15%G +0.041% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.45%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV +3.57%E +0.870%K +1.15%G +0.041% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -7.18%E -3.80%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.44%EV +3.31%E +0.810%K +1.07%G +0.036% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.84%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.28%EV -1.23%E -0.315%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.24%E -2.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -14.06%E -8.03%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -15.04%E -8.69%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.98%E -5.62%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 50.17%EV -18.48%E -11.13%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.03%EV -17.98%E -5.62%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.85%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -12.85%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.22%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.22%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.15%E -4.95%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.15%E -4.95%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -14.06%E -8.03%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.17%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -15.42%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.47%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -14.62%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.58%EV -12.08%E -3.52%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -15.38%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.57%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.52%EV -12.10%E -6.76%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -15.38%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.62%E -5.84%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -16.64%E -5.04%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |