Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Górnik Zabrze v Pogoń Szczecin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 16:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Górnik Zabrze (Local)

Prévision 49.11%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.09%49.22%48.77%50.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.661.881.901.9760.24%53.17%52.63%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.26%3.96cote équitable
EV +3.57%
Avantage +0.870%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.44%25.14%25.57%26.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.504.1030.30%27.77%28.57%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.63%3.90cote équitable
EV -3.88%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.65%25.63%25.66%26.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.543.603.7531.25%28.21%27.78%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Górnik Zabrze (Local) : 49.11% ; Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur) : 25.26% ; Match nul : 25.63%. Pour Pogoń Szczecin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.96. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +3.57%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.45%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV +3.57%E +0.870%K +1.15%G +0.041%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.45%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV +3.57%E +0.870%K +1.15%G +0.041%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 16:00
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -7.18%E -3.80%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.44%EV +3.31%E +0.810%K +1.07%G +0.036%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.84%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 15:55
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.28%EV -1.23%E -0.315%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-21 16:25
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:00
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.24%E -2.17%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-21 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:50
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:50
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:40
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:40
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -14.06%E -8.03%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-02-21 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -15.04%E -8.69%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.98%E -5.62%K -8.17%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-21 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.17%EV -18.48%E -11.13%K -28.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.03%EV -17.98%E -5.62%K -8.17%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-21 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.85%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -12.85%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.22%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.22%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.15%E -4.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.15%E -4.95%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -14.06%E -8.03%K -18.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.17%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -15.42%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-21 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.47%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -14.62%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.58%EV -12.08%E -3.52%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -15.38%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.57%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.52%EV -12.10%E -6.76%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -15.38%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.62%E -5.84%K -12.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -16.64%E -5.04%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-02-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-02-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-02-21 16:30
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-02-21 16:15
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-02-21 16:30