La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Górnik Zabrze v Pogoń Szczecin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Górnik Zabrze (Local)
Predicción 49.11%2.04momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%49.22%48.77%50.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.881.901.9760.24%53.17%52.63%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pogoń Szczecin (Visitante)
Predicción 25.26%3.96momio equitativo
EV +3.57%
Ventaja +0.870%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.44%25.14%25.57%26.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.504.1030.30%27.77%28.57%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.63%3.90momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.65%25.63%25.66%26.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.543.603.7531.25%28.21%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.45%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV +3.57%E +0.870%K +1.15%G +0.041% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.45%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV +3.57%E +0.870%K +1.15%G +0.041% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.04%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.72%EV -7.18%E -3.80%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.44%EV +3.31%E +0.810%K +1.07%G +0.036% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.84%EV -4.91%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.28%EV -1.23%E -0.315%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -1.49%E -0.381%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -4.01%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.24%E -2.17%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -5.27%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -3.88%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.60%E -6.45%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.06%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.71%E -2.97%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.69%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -14.06%E -8.03%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -15.04%E -8.69%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -17.98%E -5.62%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 50.17%EV -18.48%E -11.13%K -28.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.03%EV -17.98%E -5.62%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-02-21 16:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.85%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -12.85%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -5.16%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.22%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -5.22%E -2.70%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.15%E -4.95%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.15%E -4.95%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 48.90%EV -14.06%E -8.03%K -18.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.17%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -15.42%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-21 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.47%EV -11.11%E -6.14%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.95%EV -14.62%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.58%EV -12.08%E -3.52%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.20%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -15.38%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -11.57%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.52%EV -12.10%E -6.76%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -15.38%E -4.59%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -10.62%E -5.84%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -16.64%E -5.04%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.29%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35% | 2.4% | 2026-02-21 16:30 |