语言:简体中文
Górnik Zabrze v Lech Poznań
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Górnik Zabrze (主队)
预测 32.96%3.03公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.369%
Kelly -0.554%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.10%32.80%33.04%34.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.792.803.0038.17%35.83%35.71%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Lech Poznań (客队)
预测 40.48%2.47公平赔率
EV -4.06%
优势 -1.71%
Kelly -2.96%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.37
博彩公司预测分布
39.67%40.67%40.35%42.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.232.252.3747.62%44.76%44.44%42.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.55%3.77公平赔率
EV -0.425%
优势 -0.113%
Kelly -0.155%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.75
博彩公司预测分布
25.10%26.53%26.61%27.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.483.503.7531.25%28.71%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Górnik Zabrze (主队)：32.96%；Lech Poznań (客队)：40.48%；平局：26.55%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.77。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.75，期望值为-0.425%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -1.11%E -0.369%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -2.76%E -0.934%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.06%EV -4.07%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.59%EV -4.06%E -1.71%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -3.08%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.40%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -3.08%E -0.844%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -4.40%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -11.05%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.69%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -9.72%E -4.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -5.06%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.425%E -0.113%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -5.74%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.71%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -6.08%E -2.62%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -6.05%E -2.12%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.38%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -5.27%E -2.25%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.38%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -5.27%E -2.25%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -6.38%E -2.25%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.12%EV -5.27%E -2.25%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.75%EV -6.71%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -8.66%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -4.87%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -7.70%E -3.38%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -5.74%E -1.62%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -7.70%E -2.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -15.03%E -4.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 03:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -6.89%E -3.00%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -11.05%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.85%EV -13.37%E -6.25%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 15:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -9.35%E -3.40%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.96%E -6.03%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.31%EV -10.34%E -3.80%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.46%EV -14.18%E -6.69%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.05%E -3.30%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-12 14:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -8.39%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -11.00%E -4.07%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -7.06%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -12.64%E -4.77%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -8.39%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 14:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.51%EV -12.64%E -4.77%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.94%E -4.97%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.12%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.93%EV -12.64%E -4.77%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.22%EV -12.15%E -5.60%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.70%E -4.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-12 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.63%E -5.20%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 03:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.63%E -5.20%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -8.91%E -3.96%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.72%E -2.86%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 03:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.88%EV -13.63%E -5.20%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -14.99%E -7.14%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -12.37%E -3.75%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-12 15:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.77% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.18% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 15:25 |